Thursday, March 05, 2020

Do intelligent Mormons and Muslims have more kids than their less intelligent counterparts?

Mormons and Muslims are two groups that tend to have a lot of children. Strongly religious groups often do. Is there any chance that, unlike most Americans, their fertility patterns are eugenic? For example, do smarter individuals have more children?

The General Social Survey (GSS) asks about how many children you have had, but there are a couple problems with using this question. The sample sizes for women or adults who would be finished with having children is small, and GSS's annoying practice of putting Mormons in the "other" category forces us to rely on the question about one's religion at age 16--a question not asked of many people in the sample.

An alternative is to use the question about one's number of siblings. Since the GSS is an adult sample, most respondents will not gain any future siblings. Because the samples are still small, I've divided people into a high (7-10 answers correct on WORDSUM) or low IQ group (0-6 answers correct).

Mean number of siblings

Mormons (n = 44)

High IQ   3.63
Low IQ    4.05

Muslims (n = 73)

High IQ   4.05
Low IQ    5.04

Both religions have large families, but the lower IQ groups average more siblings. So even for groups known for their fertility, the trend is dysgenic: compared to the unintelligent, the intelligent devote more of their energy to careers, money, etc., than to having kids. Over the very long term, these groups are getting genetically dumber. Just like everyone else.

4 comments:

  1. Anonymous10:44 AM

    A possible confound is that having more siblings means you get a smaller slice of the family's resources, which could inhibit you from reaching your full intellectual potential.

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