Monday, July 25, 2011

Political orientation of young evangelicals remains stable

Some strategists argue that Republicans need to become more moderate since young people, even young evangelical conservatives, are more liberal than previous generations. The number of young people who voted for Obama is frequently hyped.

I generated the above graph which is of born-agains ages 18-29 (sample size = 4,446). The political orientation of this demographic has remained stable across four decades. As you move left to right, you can see small changes, but they are probably just noise.


  1. Anonymous11:03 AM

    Liberal and conservative means different things at different times.

  2. Extremely conservative seems to show a consistent trend to increase - it is hard to be sure from the graph - what are the precise percentages?

  3. Anonymous5:00 PM

    Maybe young evangelicals are all a form of fiscal liberalism/social conservatism. They voted for Obama because they saw a socialist they could love (about 85-90% don't identy themselves as liberals, slightly liberals or extreme liberals so I'm guessing they're no fan of theological liberals and social liberals as well). They're neutral on foreign policy (have many opinions) but are constanly culturally conservative. Did I get it right?

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