Monday, July 18, 2011

Mex-Am fertility is now driving their growth

Here's a good analysis by Pew which shows that even if the U.S. closed its border today, we would still see amazing growth in the Mexican-American population since their age structure is so young, and since they have so many babies--especially immigrant parents. (They don't mention shorter generations, but that is part of the story as well). (Just last night, I took my wife to the ER for a kidney stone and sat next to a Mex-Am mom with six kids. Don't tell me a little Hispanic women has no power.)

The authors project that, based on current trends, Hispanics will be 29 percent of the total population by mid-century. That is more than double the size of any other ethnic group. Add blacks and Jews, and you're--what--about 45 percent of the country. That means that conservatives will have to get the vote of just about every non-Jewish white person to win elections. Given the white proclivity for self-destruction, good luck with that.

2 comments:

  1. Elmer Fudd3:40 PM

    Talk about what it will take to win elections 40 years from now is a little premature. A lot can happen between now and then.

    One thing is for sure, our country will be a very different place, that is, if we still have a country. I think there's an extremely good chance the whole thing will collapse in a heap from financial upheaval, too many stupid people, and our various adversaries - both past and present - sensing that the USA is weak and being unable to resist the temptation to take a poke at Uncle Sam (uh, sorry, that's Tio Samuel) and settle old scores.

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  2. ben tillman8:48 PM

    The authors project that, based on current trends, Hispanics will be 29 percent of the total population by mid-century.

    Laughable. They'll be 29% of the population by 2025.

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