Here's a good analysis by Pew which shows that even if the U.S. closed its border today, we would still see amazing growth in the Mexican-American population since their age structure is so young, and since they have so many babies--especially immigrant parents. (They don't mention shorter generations, but that is part of the story as well). (Just last night, I took my wife to the ER for a kidney stone and sat next to a Mex-Am mom with six kids. Don't tell me a little Hispanic women has no power.)
The authors project that, based on current trends, Hispanics will be 29 percent of the total population by mid-century. That is more than double the size of any other ethnic group. Add blacks and Jews, and you're--what--about 45 percent of the country. That means that conservatives will have to get the vote of just about every non-Jewish white person to win elections. Given the white proclivity for self-destruction, good luck with that.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Are gun owners mentally ill?
Some anti-gun people think owning a gun is a sign of some kind of mental abnormality. According to General Social Survey data, gun owners ...
-
Which factor reduces family size the most? Below are the standardized OLS regression coefficients for a sample of whites ages 40-59: Stand...
-
More on trust: As a follow-up to the last post, I wondered about the level of trust in Asian and Muslim countries. Based on World Values Sur...
-
The plot thickens: As a follow-up to the last post, I wanted to see if the risk of arrest varies by hair color. I found that people with red...
Talk about what it will take to win elections 40 years from now is a little premature. A lot can happen between now and then.
ReplyDeleteOne thing is for sure, our country will be a very different place, that is, if we still have a country. I think there's an extremely good chance the whole thing will collapse in a heap from financial upheaval, too many stupid people, and our various adversaries - both past and present - sensing that the USA is weak and being unable to resist the temptation to take a poke at Uncle Sam (uh, sorry, that's Tio Samuel) and settle old scores.
The authors project that, based on current trends, Hispanics will be 29 percent of the total population by mid-century.
ReplyDeleteLaughable. They'll be 29% of the population by 2025.